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Our CMO said recently this was because you can't do contact tracing when too many people are infected. This may explain their thinking.
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So how is Germany, Taiwan, Japan, etc etc, managing to do it?
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They're pursuing herd immunity. Probably think testing won't prevent a second wave
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I think you’re right. The reason they had to pause was the NHS would have been overwhelmed. So maybe once they’ve got 16,000 new ICU beds in Nightingale hospitals, infection will be allowed to continue.
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Most people are reasonable and appreciate these are unprecedented times. We can take the truth.
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Also can't understand why they're not doing population sample testing so we can work out actual % infected in UK and London. In the meantime, extrapolating from deaths... ~2.4m?https://twitter.com/JamieWoodhouse/status/1244274195267272707 …
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Why is everyone sticking to an IFR of 0.9% though?
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@devisridhar how long would it take realistically to build a trace-test system comparable to anything with Singapore? And isn't it too late to implement this within UK, particularly given lack of capacity in testing? Not sure this is achievable now. -
Is it certain lack of capacity a given? What elements are missing in the supply chain if so? Reagents, lab technicians, analyser machines?
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UK people may have