Executive Director @DemCastUSA 
Editor-In-Chief, DemWritePress. Writing: @PatNotPart @HuffPost. Refusing to give up on US. 
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Last night, Debbie Lesko won #AZ08 by about 5 points. Trump won it by 21 points. That's a 16 point swing. Just for fun, here is a list of the 100+ GOP districts that would flip blue if that swing held nationwide.
AK-AL - Young, Don
AR-02 - Hill, French
AZ-02 - McSally, Martha
/1
AZ-06 - Schweikert, David CA-04 - McClintock, Tom CA-08 - Cook, Paul CA-10 - Denham, Jeff CA-21 - Valadao, David CA-22 - Nunes, Devin CA-25 - Knight, Steve CA-39 - Royce, Ed CA-42 - Calvert, Ken CA-45 - Walters, Mimi CA-48 - Rohrabacher, Dana CA-49 - Issa, Darrell /2
CA-50 - Hunter, Duncan CO-03 - Tipton, Scott CO-06 - Coffman, Mike FL-03 - Yoho, Ted FL-15 - Ross, Dennis FL-16 - Buchanan, Vern FL-18 - Mast, Brian FL-25 - Diaz-Balart, Mario FL-26 - Curbelo, Carlos FL-27 - Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana GA-01 - Carter, Buddy GA-06 - Handel, Karen /3
GA-07 - Woodall, Rob IA-01 - Blum, Rod IA-03 - Young, David IL-06 - Roskam, Peter IL-12 - Bost, Mike IL-13 - Davis, Rodney IL-14 - Hultgren, Randy IN-05 - Brooks, Susan KS-03 - Yoder, Kevin KY-06 - Barr, Andy ME-02 - Poliquin, Bruce MI-03 - Amash, Justin MI-06 - Upton, Fred /4
MI-08 - Bishop, Mike MI-11 - Trott, Dave MN-02 - Lewis, Jason MN-03 - Paulsen, Erik MO-02 - Wagner, Ann NC-02 - Holding, George NC-06 - Walker, Mark NC-08 - Hudson, Richard NC-09 - Pittenger, Robert NC-13 - Budd, Ted NE-02 - Bacon, Don NJ-02 - LoBiondo, Frank /5
NJ-03 - MacArthur, Tom NJ-04 - Smith, Chris NJ-07 - Lance, Leonard NJ-11 - Frelinghuysen, Rodney NM-02 - Pearce, Steve NV-02 - Amodei, Mark NY-01 - Zeldin, Lee NY-02 - King, Peter NY-11 - Donovan, Dan NY-19 - Faso, John NY-21 - Stefanik, Elise NY-22 - Tenney, Claudia /6
OH-12 - Tiberi, Patrick (Vacant, Resigned) OH-14 - Joyce, David OH-15 - Stivers, Steve OK-05 - Russell, Steve PA-01 - Fitzpatrick, Brian PA-05 - OPEN (no incumbent) PA-06 - Costello, Ryan PA-07 - OPEN (no incumbent) *big asterisk on all the PA data, due to redistricting. /7
PA-10 - Perry, Scott SC-01 - Sanford, Mark TX-02 - Poe, Ted TX-03 - Johnson, Sam TX-06 - Barton, Joe TX-07 - Culberson, John TX-10 - McCaul, Michael TX-21 - Smith, Lamar TX-22 - Olson, Pete TX-23 - Hurd, Will TX-24 - Marchant, Kenny TX-25 - Williams, Roger TX-31 - Carter, John /8
TX-32 - Sessions, Pete UT-02 - Stewart, Chris UT-04 - Love, Mia VA-01 - Wittman, Rob VA-02 - Taylor, Scott VA-05 - Garrett, Tom VA-07 - Brat, Dave VA-10 - Comstock, Barbara WA-03 - Herrera Beutler, Jaime WA-05 - McMorris Rodgers, Cathy WA-08 - Reichert, David WI-01 - Ryan, Paul /
Obviously this is not scientific. Every district is different, and going off of the 2018 Trump win isn't the most sound comparison. But it speaks to the bigly trouble the GOP is in this year.
It is a potentially encouraging sign. But all it really means is we have to get more people motivated to vote. It is the future of America that we are fighting for. Either we all work together and America wins or we all lose. Surf's Up.
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