J. Bradford DeLong
Greg Ip
@delong Just curious: why was a 2% inflation target a failure of foresight?
The Six Major Adverse Shocks that Have Hit the U.S. Macroeconomy since 2005 http://www.bradford-delong.com/2015/12/the-six-major-adverse-shocks-that-have-hit-the-us-macroeconomy-since-2005.html …
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@greg_ip (1) Back at Jackson Hole in 1992, LHS’s and my point that an inflation target much less than 5%/year had the strong drawback of - View other replies
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@greg_ip (2) making it likely that we would have nasty experiences at the zero lower bound was countered. It was countered by people saying -
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@greg_ip (3) that even if adverse shocks did drive the Fed to the ZLB sometime, such excursions to the ZLB would be rare and short. -
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@greg_ip (4) Confidence in the durability of the “Great Moderation”, and the consequent belief that we did not need to worry about what -
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@greg_ip (5) might happen in what@ojblanchard1 calls “dark corners” was, in retrospect—and some of us thought in prospect—very wrong. It -
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@greg_ip (6) was, I think, a major element in what led the economics department to put itself in a position where it got itself schlonged -
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@greg_ip (7) by reality since 2005 or so… - View other replies
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@TimMorganGage UR welcome…
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Timothy Morgan Gage
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