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dellavolpe's profile
John Della Volpe
John Della Volpe
John Della Volpe
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@dellavolpe

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John Della VolpeVerified account

@dellavolpe

Pollster. Author of FIGHT: How Gen Z is Channeling Their Fear & Passion to Save America (10/26/21) @StMartinsPress @JoeBiden @SocialSphere @HarvardIOP

United States
amazon.com/Fight-Channeli…
Joined April 2007

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    1. Karen Tumulty‏Verified account @ktumulty 5 Mar 2020

      OK non-boomers: "Because so few young people voted, it did not matter that Mr. Sanders won them by huge margins, because Mr. Biden won the much more plentiful older voters."https://nyti.ms/2vwwYSC 

      32 replies 106 retweets 318 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Karen Tumulty‏Verified account @ktumulty 5 Mar 2020

      Also worth noting: Boomers were the one who got 18-year-olds the right to vote. Would be nice if their kids and grandkids used it more.

      19 replies 21 retweets 145 likes
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    3. Karen Tumulty‏Verified account @ktumulty 5 Mar 2020

      This chart, from the Census Bureau, tells the story through 2012:pic.twitter.com/ING5X1TRGi

      5 replies 12 retweets 27 likes
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    4. Karen Tumulty‏Verified account @ktumulty 5 Mar 2020

      In 2016 (which is not on that chart), turnout in the youngest cohort bumped up slightly -- the only group that did -- but it still lagged all other age groups, by a lot.

      2 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
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    5. Ben Wessel‏Verified account @BenWessel 5 Mar 2020
      Replying to @ktumulty

      Workin’ on it! #youthvote turnout DOUBLED in ‘18 vs 14 — biggest bump of any age cohort. And we’re still setting record turnout rates in these dem primaries. Just older folks are ALSO turning out at high rates. Check @CivicYouth for more

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    6. John Della Volpe‏Verified account @dellavolpe 5 Mar 2020
      Replying to @BenWessel @ktumulty @CivicYouth

      Can you send me the data showing record turnout in dem primaries this year. Would love to see it!

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Ben Wessel‏Verified account @BenWessel 5 Mar 2020
      Replying to @dellavolpe @ktumulty @CivicYouth

      Ben Wessel Retweeted Scott Clement

      Changing exit polls methodology ( https://twitter.com/sfcpoll/status/1235598822136516609?s=21 … ) makes year over year comparisons tough w/o looking at raw vote. So combo of @CivicYouth estimates vs precinct-specific stuff at http://NextGenAmerica.org/turnout  is giving me hope. But definitely a mixed bag across country

      Ben Wessel added,

      Scott ClementVerified account @sfcpoll
      Replying to @dellavolpe
      These age comparisons are fraught given the significant changes to how the exit poll weights by age and education from 2016 to 2020. The changes will tend to make exit poll samples look older. See here from the big 2019 conference panel https://youtu.be/Yh72k0pG6So  pic.twitter.com/ucu4l0WmKr
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      John Della Volpe‏Verified account @dellavolpe 5 Mar 2020
      Replying to @BenWessel @ktumulty @CivicYouth

      If exit polls are flawed and make 2016-2020 comparisons invalid, why would 2004 or 2012 GOP comparison carry more weight? I’m truly interested in seeing any data that shows a surge. I’m focused on big picture bec still time to motivate youth if we recognize they’re not engaged.

      10:07 AM - 5 Mar 2020 from Queens, NY
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ben Wessel‏Verified account @BenWessel 5 Mar 2020
          Replying to @dellavolpe @ktumulty @CivicYouth

          Will let @CivicYouth/@AbbyIK answer that one bc tbh, i don’t know! Certainly no obvious surge in one direction, but also no obvious “falling flat”, which I’m seeing oft repeated!

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. abbyik‏ @abbyik 5 Mar 2020
          Replying to @BenWessel @dellavolpe @CivicYouth

          Ben and John - There's a lot to potentially discuss here, and appreciate the conversation. We're standing pretty firmly on comparing to previous one-competitive-party-primary years for understanding the best overall comparison.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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