Have young voters not turned out in the first 4 states at levels comparable to 2018?
Based on historic spike in youth turnout in midterms (2x 32-yr avg), the lackluster (I'm being charitable) 18-29 turnout in 1st four states requires more analysis, less spin. Does Trump have to be on ballot for youth to vote? Will Biden's team of rivals empower more youth?
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W/ exception of IA caucus, where Pete pulled younger voters along w/ Bernie, turnout is flat or lower so far & I think those who follow this/care about youth vote should be asking critical questions. Not a lot of data so far...I have theories, let's see what tongiht brings.
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Psychology research says too many choices demotivates buyers. So maybe it demotivates voters.
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Would it demotivate younger more than older voters?
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When Choice is Demotivating: Can One Desire Too Much of a Good Thing? https://faculty.washington.edu/jdb/345/345%20Articles/Iyengar%20%26%20Lepper%20%282000%29.pdf …
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What data are you drawing that conclusion from? I'm not aware of any reliable turnout data at this point.
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Maybe it's about the choices, not the voters? Maybe younger voters in states like Texas and Oklahoma realized that Sanders is a hard-core Marxist, and can't support him any more. Then they saw sleepy Joe (boring) and Mini-Mike (elitist) and stayed home?
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It looks like I was pretty much right - according to this they just stayed home, especially in more centrist states:https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/03/04/super-tuesday-bernie-sanders-youth-votes-fell-short-compared-2016/4947795002/ …
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