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Replying to @SenhorRaposa
That's a typo, it is 50-49 .. but a better question might be, does it make sense to assume that 100%, or 101 have made up their mind!?!? I find that quite strange.
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Replying to @dellavolpe
Emerson got a lot of flack in 2018 for not pushing leaners. Now they push all leaners.
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Despite the many questions about their methodology, they ended up being right about a lot of races in 2018.
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Twitter loves to jump on Emerson; but as you said they were right a lot, earned high marks from 538. It's brutally hard business. Everyone an expert. My critique isn't w/ Emerson, but w/ rating system that devalues most valuable element of polling: insights into attitudes/values.
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