This is the report she's referencing.https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/imperial-college-scientist-who-predicted-500k-coronavirus-deaths-in-uk-revises-to-20k-or-less?fbclid=IwAR02v2oNrRuS-6dDX7_tIL7FOdNkw8I_7qKAcOhoF8ZuVszFiXW9rfuI80k …
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The whole nature of science is you make mistakes and correct them. Almost nobody gets it right first time.
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But just as it is natural for models to be in alpha or beta before production it is equally the responsibility of policy makers to test them and note the bugs. Thus politicians should never pretend to roll out a stable release in the beginning.
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"Models are models." Her last words in the clip. And it's absolutely right. Models are models ONLY, and frequently don't mimic reality. We should remember that regarding OTHER models being touted by politicians, too...
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Models are only valid to the extent that the underlying assumptions mimic reality
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Aside from being impressively smart, this lady has a cool SciFi sounding name.
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Chris Hayes said half of Americans will die just 2 days ago
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The deaths start escalating when you consume your entire health service and start having to triage who lives and who dies. That's where Spain and Italy are. If you get to that point, US will have 30k deaths per day.
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USA needs to stop focusing on mathematical models and start focusing on the practical measures that prevents the spread of the virus. Having a president who says it will be all over by Easter doesn’t help!
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I think the media uses the term “expert” loosely...Question, do these “experts” lose their title given by media when they get their numbers this F-n wrong?! Asking for an expert...
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