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davidshor's profile
(((David Shor)))
(((David Shor)))
(((David Shor)))
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@davidshor

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(((David Shor)))Verified account

@davidshor

Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC with @ashe_cs , originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹

New York, NY
davidshor.io
Joined November 2007

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    1. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 21 Oct 2020

      https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1318930691665612800 …pic.twitter.com/0UrtDycY2u

      1 reply 2 retweets 24 likes
    2. This Tweet is unavailable.
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      (((David Shor)))‏Verified account @davidshor 21 Oct 2020
      Replying to @Ted4P @MootQuestion @xenocryptsite

      (((David Shor))) Retweeted (((David Shor)))

      I've been wrong about plenty of things! I think that public polls are *probably* repeating the state-level error pattern that they saw in 2016, but I really could be totally wrong! Predicting polling error is hard!https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1258756577877725190 …

      (((David Shor))) added,

      (((David Shor)))Verified account @davidshor
      Replying to @Spatch1003
      Here's a quick pass of my positive and negative surprises from the last five years. I think on net I'm a little more optimistic about the future than I was in 2015 but not by very much. pic.twitter.com/Zp9gbv9x8V
      8:18 AM - 21 Oct 2020
      • 6 Retweets
      • 67 Likes
      • Ben Zalin Paul Britton Extend the CTC permanently! Zach Heltzel Ashanka Iddya NenjyN Jenni Special Puppy🧦🐵 Post-liberal Eharding🎄
      2 replies 6 retweets 67 likes
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        2. (((David Shor)))‏Verified account @davidshor 21 Oct 2020
          Replying to @nilocobau @Ted4P and

          Probably corrects about half of it. @Nate_Cohn does a lot of other smart things though, so hard to say how it will shake out.

          1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Pool Runner‏ @PoolPositionRun 21 Oct 2020
          Replying to @davidshor @Ted4P and

          2018 didn't see much of a miss in PA, Mi, MN, Wi though. Mostly in deep red states, but yes, also in IA and OH.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. (((Ted Delphos)))‏ @T_Delphos 6 Nov 2020
          Replying to @PoolPositionRun @davidshor and

          Hypothesis: (a) polling error is about hostility to / distrust of perceived elites, media, pollsters (b) Trump being in the race accentuates all this (1) he whips it up (2) brings out pollster-hostile voters on basis of personal loyalty

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Jonathon‏ @EastEndTakes 22 Oct 2020
          Replying to @mattyglesias @davidshor and

          District-level polling is pretty inconsistent with this take based on @Redistrict's posts this past week.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. End of conversation

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