I feel like this “Abrams lost because of vote suppression” dogma is not very well-supported.pic.twitter.com/pc9fFU5rrQ
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Agreed. Would be good to see comparisons to other state swings (my prior is that demographics would have changed more in GA). Between the direct evidence of malfeasance and the fact that any 50,000 vote margin will be overdetermined, unclear what this table shows.
Georgia saw the largest increase in non-white share of voters from 2016 to 2018 of any state in the country, both overall and relative to past midterm drop-off (other Southern states also saw large increases, though not by as much)pic.twitter.com/wi6imHnVqb
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To an extent, this is an indictment of the Gillum campaign in Florida (and Florida Democrats). They did a poor job of mobilizing persons of color in 2018, which cost them Governor and Senate seats
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@JakeMGrumbach also have underlying data for GA going back to 2008, as well the national finalized estimates here & here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12vkVEn1pzqHfUmNGu8PDmdU70a8PSpWRhuY0Zlq8Pjk/edit?ouid=102783940411952609874&usp=sheets_home&ths=true …https://medium.com/@yghitza_48326/revisiting-what-happened-in-the-2018-election-c532feb51c0 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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That's much more compelling, thanks.
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it’s especially striking when you look at the specific groupshttps://twitter.com/elium2/status/1072742754277605378 …
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Of course we don’t observe counterfactual of possibly even greater increases in non-white share of voters due efforts like “exact match” of voter roles that systematically purge non-whites at higher rates. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2018/10/20/georgias-exact-match-law-could-disenfranchise-3031802-eligible-voters-my-research-finds/ …pic.twitter.com/wuaXACTsIX
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err *voter rolls
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Do you have 2012-2018?
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wish I knew the two dots in the upper right quadrant.
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But I was assured by Abrams that everyone was suppressed!
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