Top @WHO emergency official tells @HelenBranswell it's not too late to contain #2019nCoV #coronarvirus -- virus might not be spreading as efficiently as feared, he says, and asymptomatic spread is not a big contributor
https://www.statnews.com/2020/02/01/top-who-official-says-not-too-late-to-stop-coronavirus-outbreak/ … via @statnews
Saturday totals show 4883/12,036 confirmed cases are outside of Hubei province but only 10/259 deaths (and none in Zhejiang or Guandong). What do experts make of this? Reporting issues? or? https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 …
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Lag time probably but if they have a better count on confirmed cases outside of Hubei, we may get a better sense of cfr in a week or two
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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It takes a couple of weeks (or more) to die or recover so there is time lag between cases confirmed and outcome of the disease. This is one reason the apparent CFR is dropping. Recovery numbers are in the same ballpark as fatalities: 46% died to 54% recovered as of Jan 31.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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