U tweetove putem weba ili aplikacija drugih proizvođača možete dodati podatke o lokaciji, kao što su grad ili točna lokacija. Povijest lokacija tweetova uvijek možete izbrisati. Saznajte više
Point is: yes! Mild and asymptomatic cases matter, and we need to research them (for reasons beyond CFR)! But until they're diagnosed, we can't include them in CFR calculations (which is why I didn't yesterday, and yet another reason it will fluctuate moving forward). 4/4
Initial (naive) estimates of CFR are always overstated because of selection bias for the most serious cases. So our bayesian prior should be a non-trivial proportion of asymptomatic cases. And ignoring this is why we routinely overestimate severity of new outbreaks.
That's not to say that we don't need to be very concerned, but policymakers and public health officials need to be cautious about damaging credibility by repeatedly crying wolf. But the balance between avoiding alarm and ensuring sufficient response is a very difficult one.
Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.
