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    4. velj

    Bridgewater charges you $10 million for this portfolio it’s so perfectly diversified you will never have a big drawdown

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    4. velj

    Good insights and graphs. Doubling time has slowed a bit, and air travel restrictions have lowered growth of international cases. But lots of unknowns where it might go.

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    3. velj
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    2. velj

    Copper is down 12 days in a row. Do you know when the last time was that copper traded down 12 days in a row? Never.

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    1. velj

    The last place you should put your retirement money 401k etc for the next 10 years is in the S&P. You need to be in alternatives commodities, foreign stocks, emerging market bonds, energy etc

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    22. sij

    Should you track Bank Reserves (BR) or Total Assets (TA) on Fed's balance sheet? Look at the SPX-over-BR ratio (blue) and SPX-over-TA ratio (red) and decide for yourself which one makes more sense.

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    23. sij

    Really excited about this podcast with . I strongly recommended that anyone with an interest in financial markets tap into his genius. Link:

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    19. sij

    Looks like it’s on the move now towards ~93. Breaking above R2 on the daily chart towards the VPOC from November at 93. Also nicely inside value for 2020 with top of value around 94 which will likely serve as resistance. But there’s about a +20pt move in the cards here.

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    18. sij

    A large bottoming pattern with high short interest so that's good! It exploded out of the bottoming pattern on Thursday and on Friday it pulled back on higher volume but it closed above $7 resistance now support. Speculative play but as long as it stays above $7, it's good

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    18. sij

    Even though I’m bearish on real estate, one part of the country I’m bullish on is the Silicon Valley of Space. Brevard County, Florida. Cape Canaveral Lots of high tech jobs moving to this area with Bezos Branson Musk getting into space. Ocean and beach real estate very cheap

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    16. sij

    you buy extreme pessimism and double seller exhaustions/cycle supports or X-Tick breakout retests all the way up with tight stops & when u see BEARISH EXCESS ENERGY or advanced full non-confirmations or confirmation on local lows than u cool it

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    15. sij

    It sounds simple, but if the trend is up, and price begins pulling back, your far better off over a large sample assuming it is a buyable pullback rather than a top. This very general bias will put you on the right side of things more often than a constant counter-trend mentality

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    13. sij

    Pay attention. The US stock market has been proving once again, right in front of our very eyes, that overbought conditions are NOT bearish characteristics. These readings are found in uptrends. Smile with me next time they try to tell us otherwise.

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    13. sij

    Ive always said biggest mistake option traders make is not watching implied volatility, you want to buy options near a 52 week low in implied volatility like was during late December. Amateur option traders buy chart breakouts. Hedge funds buy options when they’re cheap

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    10. sij

    Here’s another way to look at it if the VIX doubles over the next month good chance S&P 500 corrects 10% if so and you purchased February 300/$295 bear put spreads for 19 cents you would make 2500% which turns $4000 into $100,000 puts are historically cheap.

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    10. sij

    Here’s another way to look at it if the VIX doubles over the next month good chance Nasdaq 100 corrects 20% (its more volatile than S&P) and if you purchased February $180/$175 bear put spreads for 5 cents you would make about 10,000% which turns $1000 into $100,000

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    🌎 🇺🇸 In terms of the increase in U.S. liquidity over 12 months, by CrossBorder’s measures, this was the biggest boost ever - Bloomberg *The PBoC has now returned to injections (pushing global liquidity ⬆) *Link:

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    🌎 🇺🇸 Money-Losing Companies Mushroom Even as Stocks Hit New Highs - WSJ *The percentage of listed companies in the U.S. losing money over 12 months is close to 40%, its highest level since the late 1990s outside of postrecession periods. *Link:

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    🇺🇸 Five Charts Raise Red Flags With Stocks Brushing Aside Tensions - Bloomberg *Link:

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