The PPIC poll of the #CArecall reveals the GOP's biggest math problem: Dem gains in Orange County in San Diego. In 2003, support for recall hit 73% in OC and 66% in SD. Today, just 41% of voters in those counties support recall - fatal for any statewide R campaign.
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Polls don’t matter anymore, all vibes now
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Have polls not always been essentially snapshots of vibes at a particular time?
End of conversation
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San Diego has shifted significantly left. Clinton and Biden both won by huge margins. But Kevin Falconer was one of the best mayors we’ve ever had. I would vote for him in a general election but can’t support the recall.
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There was a close race as recently as 2018, for Insurance Commissioner. The GOP backed the former GOP Insurance Commissioner who was running as a nominal independent. 53-47 Dem win, and the Dem got 43% in Orange County and 51% in San Diego County. I think that's more the template
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But this isn’t about math, it is about mA fReEdUm
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