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daveweigel's profile
Dave Weigel
Dave Weigel
Dave Weigel
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@daveweigel

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Dave WeigelVerified account

@daveweigel

Covering politics for @washingtonpost. daveweigel@gmail.com, 202-334-7387. @CWAUnion member. Avatar by @damnyouregis. Buy my book: http://tinyurl.com/h7wyg2c 

Los Angeles, CA
daveweigel.substack.com
Joined February 2008

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    Dave Weigel‏Verified account @daveweigel 25 Sep 2019

    Dave Weigel Retweeted Ryan Struyk

    The CW is that rivals can’t beat Biden so long as he dominates w black voters. But margins matter. Clinton won black voters by 71 points in SC and GA, by 78 points in MS, by 85 points in AL. She won them by 40 points even while losing MI primary.https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1176806140333740032 …

    Dave Weigel added,

    Ryan StruykVerified account @ryanstruyk
    New Quinnipiac poll this morning shows Warren making inroads among black voters: July: Biden 53% Warren 4% August: Biden 47% Warren 8% Now: Biden 40% Warren 19%
    9:09 AM - 25 Sep 2019
    • 19 Retweets
    • 107 Likes
    • Miss Norma Jeane 🗽🩸 & 🦷 George Purcell Sly Tammy Rainey 🗽 WarrenDemocrat Persephone Wired Matthew Halbasch Cullen Martin Paul Marr Mickey Kaus
    9 replies 19 retweets 107 likes
      1. Dave Weigel‏Verified account @daveweigel 25 Sep 2019

        Had Clinton’s margins been cut in half, she would have still won the southern primaries but with a much smaller delegate haul; she would have lost IL, MO, CT, and a bunch of other close primaries.

        0 replies 5 retweets 48 likes
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      2. Gregory Shorts‏ @GregoryJShorts 25 Sep 2019
        Replying to @flopgrace @daveweigel

        That is because actually votes matter and not percentages. 20% of New York style pizza is a lot bigger than 90% of a personal pan pizza.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. Cosme Fulanito‏ @CosmeFu68378723 25 Sep 2019
        Replying to @daveweigel

        People also often forget: Hillary came *extremely* close to beating Obama in 2008 despite losing big among black voters.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      2. Collin Reid‏ @CREID2852 25 Sep 2019
        Replying to @mattyglesias @daveweigel

        This is forgotten aspect with the HRC Primary win that HRC probably received about 60 - 65% Latino support in the 2016 Primary. (Impossible to completely tell but she won CA, TX, NY, FL, AZ, NV and NM. Oddly enough her NM was the lowest of this group.)

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Rush‏ @hypermoderate 25 Sep 2019
        Replying to @daveweigel

        Amazing what you can do when you openly lie to uncurious people who don't bother to stress test your ideas... Gee.. I wonder how Independents are polling with Warren

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jeremy Thomas‏ @hey_itsthatguy 25 Sep 2019
        Replying to @daveweigel

        The 2016 primary wasn’t close tho? You don’t need to blow everyone out like Hillary did.

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      2. Turn Minnesota bluer‏ @univofmn 25 Sep 2019
        Replying to @Heisen1berg @daveweigel

        The delegates in those states are equal and some of those states like Texas have hundreds of delegates available.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation

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