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daveweigel's profile
Dave Weigel
Dave Weigel
Dave Weigel
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@daveweigel

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Dave WeigelVerified account

@daveweigel

Covering politics for @washingtonpost. daveweigel@gmail.com, 202-334-7387. @CWAUnion member. Avatar by @damnyouregis. Buy my book: http://tinyurl.com/h7wyg2c 

Los Angeles, CA
daveweigel.substack.com
Joined February 2008

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    Dave Weigel‏Verified account @daveweigel 6 Aug 2019

    Dave Weigel Retweeted Scott Clement

    Biggest difference between 2012 GOP primary and 2020 Dem primary is fundraising. Q2 2011 Romney $18.4m Paul $4.5m Pawlenty $4.3m Gingrich $2.1m Santorum $0.6m Q2 2019 Buttigieg $24.8m Biden $21.5m Warren $19.1m Sanders $18m Harris $12mhttps://twitter.com/sfcpoll/status/1158845574482993153 …

    Dave Weigel added,

    Scott ClementVerified account @sfcpoll
    Replying to @jbview
    Last 3 cycles have shown mixed results: In '12, Romney was seen as most electable all the way, despite early losses in Iowa/S.C. (it CAN be stable) In '08 Reps, Giuliani crumbled In '08 Dems, Clinton steadily declined on this from 62% in Nov. to 26% in May pic.twitter.com/e5q23QX99K
    2:23 PM - 6 Aug 2019
    • 38 Retweets
    • 99 Likes
    • Michael 🟣 ana Cool Guy Dan Vock Nathaniel Zhang Luke Jensen-Jones Steam Ship 🌊Marie lee🌊🆘️ Scott Clement
    3 replies 38 retweets 99 likes
      1. Dave Weigel‏Verified account @daveweigel 6 Aug 2019

        The closest comparison we have to a race where multiple candidates have functionally unlimited $ to throw at Iowa is actually 2008 Ds

        8 replies 13 retweets 65 likes
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      1. The Swig Party  🍺‏ @SwigParty 6 Aug 2019
        Replying to @daveweigel

        Most noteworthy item in that data, and relevant to Biden's "electability" in 2020, is that 08' voters considered Obama and John Edwards equally electable just one month before Obama won the Iowa Caucus, and about 6 weeks before Edwards ended his campaign.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Eric Hoffpauir‏ @ehoffp 6 Aug 2019
        Replying to @daveweigel

        I wonder what the numbers were (and are now for current candidates) for the question "Do you think the following candidate can be elected president?" Most electable candidate might not mean as much if several candidates are seen as pretty electable.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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