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databyler's profile
David Byler
David Byler
David Byler
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@databyler

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David BylerVerified account

@databyler

Politics, elections, stats at @washingtonpost @postopinions. @weeklystandard, @realclearnews alum. WV ➡️ NJ ➡️ DC ➡️ NJ ➡️ CA. Math person.

david.anthony.byler at gmail
Joined September 2014

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    David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

    Democratic donors are thinking about the white knight thing all wrong Patrick & Bloomberg are normal pols trying to invent a movement in a super truncated timespan + have v little time to recover if they mess up An actual D savior might look v differenthttps://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/11/15/deval-patrick-michael-bloomberg-arent-disrupters-some-democrats-are-looking/ …

    11:25 AM - 15 Nov 2019
    • 7 Retweets
    • 19 Likes
    • Usman Khan PhillyDem🌐🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 Douglas Beach politikale Jaysin dueman Greg Stoll 💉💉🎉 Glkliberal JillB Kenneth Baer
    7 replies 7 retweets 19 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

        So in this piece I did some fun, fanciful, not real examples -- basically illustrative examples of people who will not run but it WOULD matter if they did And their strengths highlight the weaknesses of the Patrick, Bloomberg etc approach

        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      3. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

        Best example from the piece is Michelle Obama. She's obvs not gonna do it But she'd start w/a strong personal brand, love from Democrats, strongest possible assoc w/B Obama, etc Bloomberg, Patrick OTOH have to build their whole persona in like 2.5-3.5 months which is tough

        1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
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      4. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

        Oprah has a sort of similar thing going. IIRC she doesn't poll quite as well as M Obama BUT she has the potential to actually scramble thing and attract media attention, which is harder for the Normal Dudes who enter late

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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      5. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

        I kinda think a Gore candidacy would be interesting b/c that'd be the ultimate test of the single issue green-y thing. And it'd be interesting to watch if he siphoned off lefty activists from the progs, how his persona would play now, etc.

        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      6. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

        I've got HRC in there too because of course you have to talk HRC if you're talking last minute entries ;) But you get the point Patrick and Bloomberg have a really rough task ahead of them b/c they're building from less

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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      7. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

        Doesn't mean it's impossible, just means that Democratic donors (or R donors -- see Bush, Jeb) might not have thought this through If they just want someone outside the top 4, maybe put your money behind Cory Booker or Amy Klobuchar and try for a late surge in an early state.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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      8. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 15 Nov 2019

        Also -- I have no idea if this is conventional wisdom, against it, just weird etc but i sort of think that if Michelle Obama had ran from the beginning, this whole thing might be over? Or at least a lot more certain? Who knows

        2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      9. End of conversation
      1. BillHaas4St.LouisElectedSchoolBoard2021‏ @votehaas 15 Nov 2019
        Replying to @databyler @HotlineJosh

        http://Votehaas.com  campaign song "I need a hero by bonnie tyler.

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      1. BillHaas4St.LouisElectedSchoolBoard2021‏ @votehaas 15 Nov 2019
        Replying to @databyler @HotlineJosh

        http://Votehaas.com  "holding out for a hero"

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      1. Keviη Neumanη‏ @Kevindubitably 15 Nov 2019
        Replying to @databyler

        If?

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