So in this piece I did some fun, fanciful, not real examples -- basically illustrative examples of people who will not run but it WOULD matter if they did And their strengths highlight the weaknesses of the Patrick, Bloomberg etc approach
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Best example from the piece is Michelle Obama. She's obvs not gonna do it But she'd start w/a strong personal brand, love from Democrats, strongest possible assoc w/B Obama, etc Bloomberg, Patrick OTOH have to build their whole persona in like 2.5-3.5 months which is tough
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Oprah has a sort of similar thing going. IIRC she doesn't poll quite as well as M Obama BUT she has the potential to actually scramble thing and attract media attention, which is harder for the Normal Dudes who enter late
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I kinda think a Gore candidacy would be interesting b/c that'd be the ultimate test of the single issue green-y thing. And it'd be interesting to watch if he siphoned off lefty activists from the progs, how his persona would play now, etc.
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I've got HRC in there too because of course you have to talk HRC if you're talking last minute entries ;) But you get the point Patrick and Bloomberg have a really rough task ahead of them b/c they're building from less
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Doesn't mean it's impossible, just means that Democratic donors (or R donors -- see Bush, Jeb) might not have thought this through If they just want someone outside the top 4, maybe put your money behind Cory Booker or Amy Klobuchar and try for a late surge in an early state.
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Also -- I have no idea if this is conventional wisdom, against it, just weird etc but i sort of think that if Michelle Obama had ran from the beginning, this whole thing might be over? Or at least a lot more certain? Who knows
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http://Votehaas.com campaign song "I need a hero by bonnie tyler.
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http://Votehaas.com "holding out for a hero"
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