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databyler's profile
David Byler
David Byler
David Byler
Verified account
@databyler

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David BylerVerified account

@databyler

Politics, elections, stats at @washingtonpost @postopinions. @weeklystandard, @realclearnews alum. WV ➡️ NJ ➡️ DC ➡️ NJ ➡️ CA. Math person.

david.anthony.byler at gmail
Joined September 2014

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    David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 19 Sep 2019

    I mostly don't buy the "the most electable candidate is the candidate who won the primary" thing because the primary selects for somewhat different stuff than a general (maybe as it should) look at some of the people who have been nominated

    7:24 AM - 19 Sep 2019
    • 8 Retweets
    • 46 Likes
    • Carol Vinatieri Я𝕖𝕟𝕠𝕟𝕖𝕄𝕠𝕟𝕥𝕒𝕟𝕖𝕫🎶 Scoop Jackson Stan Nick Solheim 🦬 The John Quincy Adams Project 🃏🇭🇰🦖🇮🇹 Aseemru Christopher Johnson ✝️🇺🇸🌐 Jerry Kelly Steve
    4 replies 8 retweets 46 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 19 Sep 2019

        Like I know not everyone agrees to me, but seems like Rs could have performed better in 2016 if they hadn't nominated literally the most unpopular candidate in the history of polling

        5 replies 6 retweets 38 likes
        Show this thread
      3. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 19 Sep 2019

        if you think about the primary as a big contest that involves a) everyone deciding to run or not + b) the actual primaries then you have to think of HRC as the most electable Democrat of 2016? Seems easy to come up w/similar people who would have done better

        2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
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      4. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 19 Sep 2019

        Gillibrand seems like a good example of this. Very similar to Clinton, has a lot less baggage, would have probably won. You can come up w/a lot of these.

        3 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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      5. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 19 Sep 2019

        It's also *okay* for your primary not to select for the most electable because the party is trying to balance someone who will do the stuff they want + actually get into the WH.

        0 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
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      6. End of conversation
      1. Greg Dworkin‏Verified account @DemFromCT 19 Sep 2019
        Replying to @databyler

        George McGovern!!! my first vote. But then again I was in MA, where he was electable

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Jacob Colbert‏ @spinons 19 Sep 2019
        Replying to @databyler

        I agree. But there is a sense in which I think it is true. In a world where Bernie could have built a winning primary coalition i think he could have alsowon the general.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jeffrey Lazarus‏ @jlazarus001 19 Sep 2019
        Replying to @databyler

        Gen elections have candidates competing for whole electorate across entire ideological space; primaries just one party's voters across truncated ideological space. Primaries are almost purpose-built to NOT produce most electable gen-election nominee (think median voter theorem).

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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