Yeah I started replying before your reply was sent :-(. On the sac bunt, in many (most? I'd have to look at the numbers again), it doesn't even increase the probability of scoring a single run, so it doesn't make sense even when ahead (or tied). I didn't go into this in detail
I've tried mentioning that I'm doing a simplified analysis in other posts. It's possible that this forestalls some nitpicking, but people often will attack the exact thing I mentioned. I get so much static on https://danluu.com/new-cpu-features/ … from people who haven't read my 2nd sentence
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I really don't like putting disclaimers up front since I don't think of those as "content" and it pushes content further down, and it also doesn't seem to work? The most frequent comment on that CPU post is "this guy doesn't know anything about CPUs, X was around before the 80s"
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Hmm. For me, I think pushing the content down by 1 sentence is a small price to pay for making that content much easier to parse. I read the entire baseball example with "so when is he going to talk about variance/hitter skill?" in the back of my head
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