What fraction of programmers with 10 years of experience have been fired? My gut reaction is maybe 2%-3%, but that seems obviously wrong...
when I ask companies about attrition rates, I usually find that involuntary attrition (not incl. layoffs) is at least 2% per year...
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If firings are indep, we'd expect the fraction to be 1-(0.98)^10 = 18%. Firings are not indep, but I'll bet they're not too far off...
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Anecdotally, I know a large-ish of people who've been fired and AFAIK none of them have been fired twice.
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And of the sample of people I know well enough to know if they were fired, the fraction comes in within 2x of the calculation above
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I was thinking that it's odd that there are 3 stories about getting fired from github, but the odder thing is that it's 0 for most startups
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I've heard of "regretted" vs. "non-regretted", and if someone's on a PIP, they're voluntary but non-regretted, so there's wiggle room...
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