It may take 5 years before the world believes in the gap, at which point we'll see acceptance of the lawyer gulfhttps://twitter.com/danluu/status/869755905621073921 …
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Replying to @heathborders @danluu
Also, I totally agree with you about the knowledge gap between employees and VCs about valuation and options classes.
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Replying to @heathborders @danluu
The article conveniently hand-waves that away, which is a non-trivial dismissal.
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Replying to @heathborders
Something else I'm curious about is how much 7 or 10 year exercise windows change attrition (compared to 90 day).
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Replying to @danluu @heathborders
Ben implies that startup attrit is because people rationally walk away from options they can keep, but in fact most people lose options...
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Replying to @danluu @heathborders
...when they walk and they still do it. Most unicorns, even ones not having their valuations marked down, have (IMO) high attrit
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Replying to @danluu @heathborders
Empirically, the almost all unicorns have 90-day exercise windows and attrit is still v. high, so attrit cannot be as claimed in article
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Replying to @danluu @heathborders
Despite living in diff locations and having diff social circles, I think we know >= 1 person in common who's walked away from a lot of
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Replying to @danluu @heathborders
AFAICT, startup attrit happens in spite of income-maximizing decisions and not because of them.
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Replying to @danluu
Just to be clear, the author assumes that you aren't taking options unless they have at least a 7-year expirationpic.twitter.com/6LgwiILCIh
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I agree, but in the intro the author uses this mechanism to explain high attrit, when high attrit occurs independent of exercise period!
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Replying to @danluu @heathborders
IMO that alone is enough to invalidate the rational-actor-maximizing-
story. If they're rationally optimizing something, it's not
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