Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.

This is the legacy version of twitter.com. We will be shutting it down on June 1, 2020. Please switch to a supported browser, or disable the extension which masks your browser. You can see a list of supported browsers in our Help Center.

  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
danluu's profile
Dan Luu
Dan Luu
Dan Luu
@danluu

Tweets

Dan Luu

@danluu

https://patreon.com/danluu 

danluu.com
Joined December 2008

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Hillel‏ @hillelogram Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      A lot of things in modern tech we don't think are useful- up-front design, code comments, estimations- are just skills we aren't pushed to practice. Of course they won't be useful if we're terrible at doing them!

      4 replies 19 retweets 101 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Hillel‏ @hillelogram Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      I've talked with people who have actively trained themselves in estimation and they can estimate tasks pretty dead-on. But they worked to get better at giving good estimates

      7 replies 3 retweets 24 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Hillel‏ @hillelogram Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      See also su3su2u1's rant about scope insensitivity, and how it might be something that people just don't train themselves inpic.twitter.com/NR2QXadd2t

      2 replies 1 retweet 22 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Hillel‏ @hillelogram Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Above is from https://danluu.com/su3su2u1/hpmor/  btw

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Dan Luu‏ @danluu Feb 9
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @hillelogram

      Funny, despite hosting this, the biggest problem (with my writing) in my last post was that I underestimated this problem. Many (a plurality?) of the objections are something like "No way, X is 95%-ile, that's very hard" where X = 2200 chess player, NBA player, D-I athlete, etc.

      1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
    6. Dan Luu‏ @danluu Feb 9
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @danluu @hillelogram

      But a 2200 USCF player is roughly top 1000 in the U.S., perhaps 1 in 100000 across all people who have played chess in the U.S., not 1 in 20, off by 4-5 orders of magnitude. I think looking at NBA players is probably an error of 5+ orders of magnitude.

      2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    7. Justin Blank‏ @hyperpape Feb 9
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @danluu @hillelogram

      Being clearer about who counts would help. My assumption for chess was that the relevant class was "people who've played a game in the past 1-2 years", which I suspect is less than 100 million.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Justin Blank‏ @hyperpape Feb 9
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @hyperpape @danluu @hillelogram

      For instance, I think I play more chess than the average human being, but a histogram of 2 year periods in my (> 6 year old life) of how many games of chess I played chess would probably split: 0, 0, 1 - 50, 50+, 50+.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Justin Blank‏ @hyperpape Feb 9
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @hyperpape @danluu @hillelogram

      Though 2200 chess rating = 95% percentile is off base by any reasonable standard.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Dan Luu‏ @danluu Feb 9
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @hyperpape @hillelogram

      Sure, that reduces the error by probably 1-2 orders of magnitude? Also, in that case, the commenter was also specifically referring to people who'd played more than 4-5 games ever, so that was their choice of framing and not mine.

      1:00 PM - 9 Feb 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Marcus Justin Blank
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. Justin Blank‏ @hyperpape Feb 9
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation
          Replying to @danluu @hillelogram

          Agreed. Reflecting more, I'm not sure if there's anything to do (as a writer) about readers making that kind of error.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2020 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Imprint
        • Cookies
        • Ads info