this is a counter-intuitive point that I first learned and internalized during my Magic: the Gathering hobby years. (yes I'm a huge nerd, surprising to nobody) If any of you are familiar with some years-old gaming jargon, this is the idea of not succumbing to "the fear".https://twitter.com/CurlOfGradient/status/1050422663489970177 …
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in any given (reasonably balanced) metagame environment there is something out there that absolutely preys upon your favored strategy. if you have "the fear" you will play a different strategy to avoid it, or you'll cripple the effective of your own strategy seeking resilience.
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it's a bad idea. you shouldn't do that. trading your large advantages for smaller disadvantages is a bad hedge in a competitive metagame. the correct strategy is to ignore your metagame predator, take the L if it finds you, and punish everyone who isn't your predator.
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this creates the desired metagame equilibrium of allowing your predator to get eliminated by its own natural predators instead of by yourself. it's a gamble, if you run into your predator you lose, but if you dodge it you're positioning is great.
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just make sure you choose the strategy that has a predator that is susceptible to something you crush. if your advantage over your predator's predator isn't large enough the expected value of your metagame gamble won't make it to positive.
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summary: play to your strengths and always propitiate Fortuna
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