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danlistensto's profile
Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop
Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop
Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop
@danlistensto

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Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop

@danlistensto

Moloch's janitor

Joined August 2014

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    1. Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop‏ @danlistensto Oct 11

      Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop Retweeted Curl Of Gradient

      this is a counter-intuitive point that I first learned and internalized during my Magic: the Gathering hobby years. (yes I'm a huge nerd, surprising to nobody) If any of you are familiar with some years-old gaming jargon, this is the idea of not succumbing to "the fear".https://twitter.com/CurlOfGradient/status/1050422663489970177 …

      Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop added,

      Curl Of Gradient @CurlOfGradient
      Instead of adopting the strategy that wins most often on average against all other strategies, adopt the strategy that results in the most favorable equilibrium with the strategies that best counter it.
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Show this thread
      Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop‏ @danlistensto Oct 11

      in any given (reasonably balanced) metagame environment there is something out there that absolutely preys upon your favored strategy. if you have "the fear" you will play a different strategy to avoid it, or you'll cripple the effective of your own strategy seeking resilience.

      10:37 AM - 11 Oct 2018
      • 1 Like
      • Rin’dzin
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop‏ @danlistensto Oct 11

          it's a bad idea. you shouldn't do that. trading your large advantages for smaller disadvantages is a bad hedge in a competitive metagame. the correct strategy is to ignore your metagame predator, take the L if it finds you, and punish everyone who isn't your predator.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop‏ @danlistensto Oct 11

          this creates the desired metagame equilibrium of allowing your predator to get eliminated by its own natural predators instead of by yourself. it's a gamble, if you run into your predator you lose, but if you dodge it you're positioning is great.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        4. Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop‏ @danlistensto Oct 11

          just make sure you choose the strategy that has a predator that is susceptible to something you crush. if your advantage over your predator's predator isn't large enough the expected value of your metagame gamble won't make it to positive.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        5. Dan listens to rain falling on the rooftop‏ @danlistensto Oct 11

          summary: play to your strengths and always propitiate Fortuna

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
          Show this thread
        6. End of conversation

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