So the obvious question is why have we played ball with them for 85 years? Oil is the obvious answer, and certainly a piece of the puzzle, but what other incentives are there that statesmen know about and the average public don’t?https://twitter.com/thewargarurumon/status/1027561920017182721 …
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I’m up on the Israel thing if you see my recent self-reply, but I was not clear on the Russian history and that absolutely makes sense
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you must question "why do we still do this? why do we care about Iran?" and honestly it's hard to come up with good answers. there is a lot of cold war inertia and unsettled grudges so much of it is irrational. lobbying from Israeli interests as well.
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The only thing that makes even a lick of sense to keep US-Iran relations this cold is the nuclear threat and it seems almost hopeless for civilians to try and understand the ground reality of that situation, how serious it is.
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is it impossible? to me it seems like a nuclear standoff with Israel, except Iran hasn't actually built a weapon, just credibly developed the capacity to build one if they feel like they need to.
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I think that’s the most plausible state of affairs, but I have super low confidence in any of the reporting about it. Standoff with Israel is almost def the concern, confident in that at least, but how concerned need we actually be is my biggest question there.
End of conversation
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