have casually suspected this for some timehttps://twitter.com/hyperfekt/status/978027065516716032 …
-
-
I suspect conviction is Extremely Misplaced a good ninety percent of the time possibly better to act in spite of an absence of conviction?
-
but who can do such a thing? conviction is easily misplaced and this constitutes a form of infohazard that we should be vigilant against (thus the weakly held clause), but it is useful for inoculating against apathy and complacency.
-
"I'm probably wrong but this is the best guess I have right now and I've gotta do something SO---" compare: Box's aphorism about models
-
the strong opinion there is "I'm probably wrong" rather than "this is the best guess I have right now" which means your action is guided towards refining the model rather than acting with confidence in the model
-
hmm compare also eisenhower on plans and planning?
-
e.g. "plans don't survive first contact with the enemy"? and "but its better to have one than not"? that seems right to me and is a great example of strong opinions held loosely
-
are we just split on the definition of "strong" here?
-
possibly. what do you think it means?
- 4 more replies
New conversation -
-
-
consider: strong opinions, mildly held
-
trolling. you've invented trolling.
-
strong opinions, not actually held
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
why act with strength of conviction when you might be proven wrong at any point?
-
why get out of bed when the asteroid might hit any moment now?
-
you need to read comet in moominland my boy
-
the comet just GOES AWAY
- End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.