Seems to me that market cycles used to be longer than human lifespans, hence training while young and working until retirement. Now, market cycles are shortening and we face the crisis of needing to reskill people mid-career. Will other cycles similarly shorten in period?
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Ray Dalio would agree I think (and you'd enjoy the biographical part of the updated version of 'principles')
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if people get older and cycles move faster, might not always be the case
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History Doesn't Repeat Itself, But It Rhymes Everything in the world is simply reinterpretation of historical precedent through the lense of todays innovative tech. In same way fashion trends re-emegre, Uber was the reinvention of personal transport and Spotify the next Napster
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History {of tech|business|science|politics|government|fashion|etc} is vastly underrated, especially among techies. I find many (most?) (young tech) entrepreneurs woefully lacking in history, esp those who grew up in US.
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Alternative hypothesis: cycles happen because we take decisions based on relative data, not absolute. And relative data repeats. Example: stock market crashes happen (also) because (some) investors look at what others are doing (relative) not at prices or businesses (absolute).
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What is the historical archetype for crypto Currency? Maybe selling the forgiveness of sins (by the church)?
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What? So, the online world we are enjoying now - that isn’t really new, everyone a few centuries ago was using Facebook too - it’s just we have now “cycled” back to this - and Great Great Ganny never told us about her problems with online privacy.
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Progress is an aliasing artifact
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