Dag Svanæs

@dagsvanaes

I am a computer science professor at NTNU.

Trondheim, Norway
Vrijeme pridruživanja: veljača 2009.

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  1. 2. velj

    Data from mainland China are unrealiable. Hong Kong keeps an updates detailed list of all its confirmed cases. Of 15 cases, 3 are in serious condition and 1 critical. Site to follow to get a better picture of the nature this virus.

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  2. 1. velj

    Ok. I might have been too harsh here. I did a Yandex "image translate" on the poster by the door. It returned: "This household. Wuhan's return home. Do not touch". Forced quarantine. But will they be brought to hospital if/when they develop symptoms?

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  3. 1. velj

    27:30 in the video. I hope this is fake new, but these guys seem credible.

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  4. 31. sij

    Lancet paper estimates number of infected based on cases outside Wuhan and travel patterns. Do they account for the fact that most cases outside Wuhan are also asymptomatic? Then no way of finding the number of asymptomatic cases. Am i wrong?

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  5. 31. sij

    If you are right, we are in the middle of a horror movie. I am not going there yet.

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  6. 31. sij

    To you conspiracy guys: Here are at least 3000 real cases with details. Why should China fabricate data to fit a model?

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  7. 31. sij

    We might see the beginning of an S-curve! Using the wikipedia data on confirmed cases from China, I get the best curve fit (R2=0.9988) on Sigmoidal. Red dots are data, blue triangles are predictions. Let us hope this is real. It could just reflect underreporting.

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  8. 30. sij

    Halen "min" var hos Jon Almaas på TVNorge i kveld. Superdyktige CEO Vilde Bergan viste fram halen og Almaas prøvde den ;). (19 minutter inn)

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  9. 30. sij

    Infected: 7800. Predictet four days ago: 8000. I hate to be right. :(. These are not just numbers, but people suffering and in distress. So very, very sad.

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  10. 29. sij

    Jan. 29th. Still exponential growth.

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  11. 26. sij

    : Schoolbook example of exponential growth. Number of detected cases double approx. every second day (wiki). Embrace for impact: 2000, 4000, 8000, 16.000, 32k, 64k, 128k, 256k, 512k, 1 mio, 2 mio, 4 mio, 8 mio, 16 mio, 32 mio. (in 28 days). Hope it can be contained.

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  12. 26. sij

    China’s national health minister Ma Xiaowei said the new is also infectious during incubation, and it is getting stronger. Doubles every second day. China has quarantined Wuhan; the world needs to quarantine mainland China until it is contained. WHO must act now!!

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  13. 26. sij

    Estimated fatality rate of detected cases is 14%, given one week delay between diagnosis and death (42/300). New Lancet study shows that 15% (six) of the first 41 detected cases have died. And no of detected cases now doubles every 2nd day.

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  14. 25. sij

    mortality rate: 42/1438 = 3% of detected cases. But people do not just enter the hospital and die. If we assume on the avg. 7 days from diagnosis to death, we have to go back a week when we had 300 cases. That gives a mortality rate of 42/300 = 14%. Hope I am wrong.

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  15. 24. sij

    Only 5% of infected show symptoms of . Two cases in the US means 40 cases, all currently spreading the virus. Double every 2nd day. CDC should test all passengers having arrived from China since new year. NOW!! Hope I am wrong.

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  16. 24. sij

    out of control in China. 5% get really ill, 3% of those die: mortality rate 1.5 in 1000. If 10% of the population in China get infected, 150.000 casualties over the next months. Hard to contain. Similar numbers for the rest of the world later.

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  17. 4. pro 2019.

    Jeg har en kronikk i Dagens Næringsliv i dag om politisk reklame i sosiale medier. Håper jeg får i gang en debatt. // I have an op-ed on political ads on social media in a Norwegian newspaper today.

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  18. 1. srp 2019.

    "I cannot remember not reading. At a time before nerd became a category separate from weirdo, books were my childhood escape from small-town reality. In the safe universe between their covers, I was not the odd boy building gadgets that blinked..."

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  19. 1. srp 2019.

    What are you reading, Mr. Svanæs? A short book review of three books in the current issue of ACM Interactions.

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  20. 22. lip 2019.

    Iran attack U-turn: Trump has a heart? While most of his security advisers were in their habitual state of heart, and objectified enemy casualties and sufferings as numbers on paper, the President suddenly realized that he was about to kill 150 human beings.

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