David Spiegelhalter

@d_spiegel

Statistician: + evidence, risk, probability, chance, uncertainty. Chair, Winton Centre. Author Art of Statistics, co-author Covid by Numbers. Own opinions.

Cambridge, England
statslab.cam.ac.uk/~david/
Joined September 2009
285 Photos and videos Photos and videos

Tweets

You blocked @d_spiegel

Are you sure you want to view these Tweets? Viewing Tweets won't unblock @d_spiegel

  1. Oct 18

    This article is a bit more challenging than usual, but tries to get over the idea that a positive LFD is stronger evidence *for* the virus than a negative PCR is *against* the virus. So reasonable to be cautious after +ve LFD and -ve PCR

    In today's , and I look at conflicting test results. ⚖Like a court case, tests act as evidence for or against infection. 🎰Likelihood ratios show relative support. 🧪As prevalence changes, your chance of infection changes.
    5 replies . 20 retweets 69 likes
    Undo
  2. Oct 18

    This looks a great job! Looking for both technical and communication skills

    Im advertising a (hopefully!) really interesting job combining statistics, public policy and communication. Working with the Winton Centre and , and potentially many others across Cambridge including Deadline 14 Nov.
    3 retweets 10 likes
    Undo
  3. Oct 18

    Great to be talking to Michael again!

    Michael Blastland puts and in the hot-seat: how should experts communicate about excess deaths, vaccine harms, lockdowns and more?
    1 reply . 4 retweets 14 likes
    Undo
  4. Oct 18

    $1,000 prize for the best ’small-world’ coincidence! Some great stories there already

    1 reply . 9 retweets 20 likes
    Undo
  5. Oct 15

    Amazon now charging the cover price for our book. So why not support your local bookshop instead?

    10 replies . 15 retweets 155 likes
    Undo
  6. Oct 14

    our latest Risky Talk podcast! produced by the brilliant

    Out now - the latest RiskyTalk podcast from the Winton Centre, featuring and talking about the lessons learned on communicating Covid statistics during the past 18 months. Produced by
    2 replies . 1 retweet 18 likes
    Undo
  7. Retweeted
    Oct 7

    very excited about appearing in person at the Sidmouth Science Festival on the 15th (even though, for a North Devon boy, it’s a foreign country)

    7 replies . 7 retweets 54 likes
    Undo
  8. Retweeted
    Oct 10

    In today's , and I look at the systemic shift towards dying at home.

    4 replies . 9 retweets 22 likes
    Undo
  9. Retweeted
    Oct 10

    Back in January, The Observer asked and I to write a column on Covid-19 stats. Out of that column rose the idea for a book. Here are some interesting facts from the book.

    9 replies . 41 retweets 104 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  10. Oct 9

    a unique chance to see both me and together! Monday at 10am in Cheltenham (we never met when writing the book)

    3 replies . 3 retweets 50 likes
    Undo
  11. Retweeted
    Oct 8

    "essential that statistics underlying policy decisions are available for scrutiny and are not cherrypicked to avoid those that might rock some political boat. This requires both constant vigilance and appropriate clout for professional analysts"

    1 reply . 16 retweets 38 likes
    Undo
  12. Oct 8

    For anyone who has got our book, you can now download a pdf with web-links for all the end-notes

    1 reply . 9 retweets 53 likes
    Undo
  13. Oct 8

    my take on OSR’s ‘Lessons Learned'

    “The pandemic has shown how much can be achieved with the right will and appropriate resources, and OSR’s ‘Lessons Learned’ point the way forward.” gives his reflections on lessons learnt for health and social care statistics.
    5 retweets 13 likes
    Undo
  14. Oct 8

    extraordinary blog by on the effort in setting up reproducible code to extract graphs from ONS spreadsheets (Of course this explains why he has done all the wonderful coding for our book!)

    1 reply . 9 retweets 74 likes
    Undo
  15. Oct 7

    very excited about appearing in person at the Sidmouth Science Festival on the 15th (even though, for a North Devon boy, it’s a foreign country)

    7 replies . 7 retweets 54 likes
    Undo
  16. Oct 7

    Very pleased to be doing this. But, to avoid disappointment, I should be clear that I will certainly not be saying what will happen next!

    . has been described as a “superstar statistician” and as “Britain’s statistical national treasure”. Join us for a ThinkIn in which he will debunk Covid misconceptions and explain, definitively, how we got here and what will happen next.
    5 replies . 7 retweets 93 likes
    Undo
  17. Oct 7

    excellent lessons! I like the emphasis on independent leadership, transparency, collaboration, and data useful for evaluation. (COI: I am a non-exec on UKSA, who oversees the work of OSR).

    0:22
    Today we published our report: Improving health and social care statistics: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic.
    1 reply . 17 retweets 48 likes
    Undo
  18. Oct 6

    excellent article by ( and I had been thinking of covering this in the Observer this week, but will need to think again..)

    7 replies . 53 retweets 171 likes
    Undo
  19. Retweeted
    Oct 5

    Have you got questions about COVID and statistics? Join our online event with Professor and Dr tonight to have your questions answered. Tickets and books here:

    2 replies . 5 retweets 6 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  20. Oct 4

    Amazon does some very odd classification of books...

    6 replies . 3 retweets 66 likes
    Undo

@d_spiegel hasn't Tweeted yet.

Loading seems to be taking a while.

Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

    You may also like

    ·