I think the argument boils down to this: we don’t know how much a populist argument fuels turnout. The populist economic policy planks are now (thanks in part to Obama btw) not so far apart from the nominally centrist ones.
Sure. Barack Obama. Hope and change. Totally with you. But okay take 2008 and imagine Obama had delivered more on economics, say he went full old school new deal federal jobs program. You really think he wouldn’t have still lost the House in ‘10 and the Senate in ‘14?
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Jobs program would directly affect the poor much more than any of those things you said but OK sure. Yeah I think he would have lost, probably worse, and I think 11-16 would have played out almost identically. Except he would have done more good than he actually did.
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