That said, even though I think PT is the right combo of likely and good, if I were voting, my vote would go CMBYN / Get Out / Ladybird / PT / Shape of Water / Dunkirk / Churchill Impersonation Film / Three Billboards.
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Justice for Phantom Thread! Phantom Thread > Shape of Water > Three Billboards. I might put Lady Bird ahead of Phantom Thread. CMBYN is about even with Shape of Water, or slightly ahead, Get Out between PT and SoW. Dunkirk and the Churchill Impersonation Film I would do without.
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