OK so north korea. It seems to me that the crux of the issue here is that NK thinks nukes are necessary to avoid US-led regime change.
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By contrast, should NK attack US or any ally (i.e., Japan/South Korea), China enters war on US side, with predetermined endgame for NK.
in exchange for this commitment from China, NK halts nuke program. Then, US/Japan/SK start offering NK economic goodies in exchange...
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for meaningful rollback of the nuclear program, with "snapback" procedures a la Iran nuke deal.
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In particular, I think getting NK citizens access to non-state media would be an important goal...
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