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crimkadid's profile
Uriah
Uriah
Uriah
@crimkadid

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Uriah

@crimkadid

If you are a normal person, don't follow this account. Just browse the tweets and you won't get in trouble.

Joined May 2013

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    1. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare @crimkadid

      Let's say it is true, anyway. Trump has a 35% of being elected right now, at Hillary's worst moments.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare @crimkadid

      A generic R, who maybe didn't get it like Trump does, would be trouncing her. Which is more: 35% * 1, vs 60-70% * 0.8?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Uriah‏ @crimkadid 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare

      A generic R (Kasich, Rubio, Jeb) would far more likely to pass amnesty than Hillary.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Uriah‏ @crimkadid 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @crimkadid @Billare

      Cruz does no better than Trump in general and is way more likely to defect on immigration if given the chance.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @crimkadid

      Flatly false. Trump has committed two bad own goals already that the very organized Cruz would never have committed.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare @crimkadid

      Indeed, Trump is likely to underperform his polling because of his weak data & GOTV operations, sthing Cruz excelled at.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Uriah‏ @crimkadid 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare

      Maybe, but Trump outperformed polls in 40 of 50 states. Reverse outcome is just as likely.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @crimkadid

      Clinton is a very bad candidate, we agree. If you look at reversal in polling, it is more about her losses than his gains.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare @crimkadid

      Partisanship—the fear of her Admin.—will bolster his numbers, so that he won't lose in unprecedented fashion.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare @crimkadid

      But he has yet to crossover to any groups, & he's losing demos that prior Rs never have. Is that the competition you wanted?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Uriah‏ @crimkadid 19 Jul 2016
      Replying to @Billare

      He hasn't done any worse with Hispanics or Blacks than Romney did. He's winning white men w/o college degrees 76-14.

      5:43 PM - 19 Jul 2016
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
          Replying to @crimkadid

          Not with Hispanics, sure. But with Blacks, slightly worse. But your observation about his strength with males is correct.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        2. Billare‏ @Billare 19 Jul 2016
          Replying to @Billare @crimkadid

          But therein lies the problem of his part baggage. He loses other groups, esp. college-educated women, more than he gains w/men.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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