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This is the basic division that never mattered before 2016: between the Anglo-Saxon Midwest exemplified by Indiana and the Germanic one represented by Minnesota. Here on the left you can see the average British and Irish scores for 23andMe customers; note the Minnesota dead zone:pic.twitter.com/hmvjObP1LP
Minnesota was the only state lame enough to vote for Rubio. Iowa and Wisconsin went for Cruz and Ohio was a Kasich victory with Trump winning all the Southern, Appalachian counties with lots of Old Americans.
I’m fairly sure this is not genetically influenced, because heavily German Pennsylvania and East Texas didn’t display the same tendency. Ancient Pennsylvania Germans also didn’t turn against Wilson in 1916 or FDR in 1940; they’re just Americans who happen to have German blood.
Midwestern ethnics gave up their languages a long time ago, so this is a weird finding. It turns out that certain basic attitudes have remained unchanged in Midwestern ethnic ghettos even as the languages and food died out. What are they exactly?
I think the basic answer is that Trump is an affront to all things Protestant. Not the actual doctrine; there are certain deep religious folkways that have nothing do with the original founder of the religion or its Holy Book.
The Koran doesn’t insist women wear the veil, but it’s such a baked in Muslim practice that a lot of people assume it does. Likewise, there’s nothing about sola scriptura or justification by faith that naturally leads to the Protestant Modesty Cult, but that’s baked in, too.
Trump’s wiki used to have a quote from him to the effect: “People can’t believe I’m a Protestant” and that’s apt, because open braggadocio is so frowned upon in the Protestant North, the traditional backbone of the old school GOP.
Now Southerners are of course Protestants too, but not really in the European sense. The religion is too loud and charismatic; it has too much personality for a Scandinavian or a German to feel comfortable. It’s fundamentally a Protestant spinoff.
Trump basically ran as an old fashioned Democrat that drew support from the traditional alliance of Southerners and Northeast Catholics/urbanites in opposition to a stodgy Protestant culture of self-control.
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