After the Iowa cacucus I fiddled around with a NCSS spreadsheet of Iowa counties and discovered that the % of county who identified as Dutch in the census was the best negative predictor of Trump’s vote count, more important even than the % of bachelor’s degrees.
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There aren’t many Dutch people in America. Their highest concentration by far (57.7%) is in ultra-religious Sioux County Iowa which also gave Trump his lowest shared of the vote (10.9%, his average was 24.3%). Others have noticed the same thing:https://www.aei.org/op-eds/the-most-interesting-county-in-iowa-trumps-worst-county-and-his-best-county-in-one-place/ …
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Makes a difference when the Germans arrived. If you look at the Germanic stock that settled in the US before 1848 they are closer in temperament and political views to "Old Americans." Those that came after '48 are a very different group.
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Seems to be the Germanic "Volksgemeinschaft" versus the more individualistic eccentric Thomas Paine/Henry Carey eccentric ethos of the British Isles
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from what I remember of my own analysis at the time, non-Mormon Puritans voted for Kasich, Mormons for Cruz, and Borderers and Cavaliers for Trump. not sure about Delaware Valley Quakers, as there aren't many of them, but I think they voted for Trump as well.
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Would it be too harsh to say that non-British immigration was always a mistake?
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