5 Likes => one cool/weird demographics fact. http://www.unz.com/author/anatoly-karlin/topic/demographics/ …pic.twitter.com/5EnNYD4H7B
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5 Likes => one cool/weird demographics fact. http://www.unz.com/author/anatoly-karlin/topic/demographics/ …pic.twitter.com/5EnNYD4H7B
1. The world's population of Greeks has been steady at ~10 million since the age of Alexander the Great. https://grbs.library.duke.edu/article/view/951 … Their percentage of the world total plummeted from just under 5% to slightly more than 0.1% today.
2. Russia's middle-aged male mortality in the 1990s and early 2000s was worse than under late Tsarism. In particular, alcohol abuse accounted contributed to about a third of all deaths. (This has all since drastically improved).http://www.unz.com/akarlin/out-of-the-death-spiral/ …
3. In 1900, Europe's population (~400M) was quintuple that of Sub-Saharan Africa's (~80M). By 2100, Sub-Saharan Africa's population (~4B) will be eight times as great as Europe's (~650M). Quite the reversal! [Maddison, UN World Population Prospects]pic.twitter.com/sHjpj8jhHY
4. However, "breeder" genes are ultra-competitive in a post-Malthusian environment. Consequently, it is entirely possible that Europe - which underwent the demographic transition 50-100 years ago - may have higher fertility rates than Africa by 2100. https://www.unz.com/akarlin/breeders-revenge/ …pic.twitter.com/GGrXEBB7a6
5. Exponential growth can be very powerful. On current trends, Mormons will account for majorities in wide swathes of the rural American West by the early 22nd century. http://www.unz.com/akarlin/lds-republic/ …pic.twitter.com/dSIk435S9w
Last year, South Dakota knocked off Utah to become the most fertile American state. Utah isn't exclusively Mormon, but a decline in relative fertility coupled with a lowering retention rate makes this kind of projection improbable.https://religionnews.com/2019/03/27/how-many-millennials-are-really-leaving-the-lds-church/ …
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