Bayesian rationalists think prediction is what thinking is. Critical rationalists deny many kinds of prediction are even possible, highlighting the growth of knowledge is unpredictable, and that most interesting things rest on this ever-evolving knowledge.https://twitter.com/coponder/status/1239808796647555072 …
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My understanding comes from predictive processing + friston free energy. My sense of the brain is it creates expectations of the world based on prev input, then compares that to new input. If the expectation and the input differ, you experience surprise (ie a prediction error).
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I know some Bayesian rationalists had a tendency to use S2 to crunch probabilities and make predictions verbally, but when I say rationalists want to get good at making predictions, I mean more than that. I'm curious to hear more about what you meant!
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