Great thread with a "best guess" from @trvrb on where post-pandemic (endemic) burden of COVID may end up. Note: how the virus evolves is one factor, but so is the host (us!) immune response once it's no longer novel. Also: even smaller risk can, at scale, add substantial burden.https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1448297977005723653 …
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Once you accept the endemic outcome, it basically approaches 1:1.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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You can turn anything into a trolley problem if you want, but it's a stretch. Mainly, you're comparing a major risk of the vaccine (myocarditis) to a side-effect of the disease itself -- the overall risk from the vaccine is far less than COVID.
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ie. your (already hypothetical) numbers would have to be magnified another few orders of magnitude before your scenario would represent any kind of moral dilemma
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