It's sobering to look at the numbers. An inflicted person infects 2.28 others on average with a two week incubation period. That's >9k people by the end of March, >50k people by the end of April, out of 3M in King and Snohomish counties. >500 deaths if the mortality rate holds.https://twitter.com/JuddLegum/status/1234119392289574913 …
2.28 is the best number I could find (https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(20)30091-6/fulltext …).
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Your number sounds right, 1.5 was the number I saw for Flu. As in "here's another highly contagious decease that has lower R0."
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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