"We did thing X, and it worked 17% of the time." Medical industry: "The evidence that X works is overwhelming!" Every other industry: "That didn't work at all, X is probably only tangentially related to the problem, let's try something else."
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Blood letting probably had a 17% success rate...
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doing nothing, sometimes has a 17% success rate.
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Yuh, we don't understand the problem. We are trying! But obv it's nothing like engineering, biology is complicated. But making judgements on the limited information you have can be a moral necessity.
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The redness of the flag is not completely unacknowledged, eg http://www.cell.com/cancer-cell/abstract/S1535-6108(02)00133-2 …
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yeah but when 17% success is the best you've got, it's better than 0%
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Exactly. I think context here matters a lot. Also, it's not like they consider the problem solved at 17%. They just want some lives to be saved while they work on upping that ratio.
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Spoken like someone who works on highly deterministic, non-chaotic systems for a living...
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Like fixing a bug that accounts for only 17% of your crash reports? Wasted effort, surely. ;)
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