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cmuratori's profile
Casey Muratori
Casey Muratori
Casey Muratori
@cmuratori

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Casey Muratori

@cmuratori

I'm worried that the baby thinks people can't change.

Seattle
caseymuratori.com
Joined March 2009

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    Casey Muratori‏ @cmuratori 6 Jan 2014

    This can't be accurate, can it? Over 1/3rd of _all_ men in the US are arrested by the time they're 23?? http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-01/uosc-sho010314.php …

    2:50 PM - 6 Jan 2014
    4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      1. Marco Mustapic‏ @mmustapic 6 Jan 2014
        Replying to @cmuratori

        @cmuratori maybe it's just bad math and they are counting # of arrests / total population?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Matías N. Goldberg‏ @matiasgoldberg 6 Jan 2014
        Replying to @cmuratori

        @cmuratori Satistically you would find 1 out of 3 people to have been arrested. If that's not the case (...)

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Matías N. Goldberg‏ @matiasgoldberg 6 Jan 2014
        Replying to @matiasgoldberg

        @cmuratori (...) If that's not the case, then there should be entire towns or cities where everyone has been arrested at least once

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. (BLM) Sean Barrett‏ @nothings 6 Jan 2014
        Replying to @cmuratori

        @cmuratori Sounds absurd, can't find study online, but researchers seem legit http://www.albany.edu/bushway_research/publication_topics.htm … & doesn't sound like misrepresentation.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Tom Forsyth‏ @tom_forsyth 6 Jan 2014
        Replying to @nothings

        @nothings @cmuratori I can accept a third of *some populations*, but a third *on average* seems absurd.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. (BLM) Sean Barrett‏ @nothings 6 Jan 2014

        @cmuratori @dmoore general male population: "risk of arrest by age 23 was 30%, with nonresponse bounds [25.3%, 41.4%]" (link from @lgroeni)

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. (BLM) Sean Barrett‏ @nothings 6 Jan 2014
        Replying to @nothings

        @cmuratori @DMoore @lgroeni (That's me going "hooray, someone reports non-response rates instead of assuming a distribution for 'em".)

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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