Covid cases vs. Covid shots per person, where each dot is a state. By pure coincidence, states with fewer vaccinations per person tend to have more cases.pic.twitter.com/IGg97JVeoF
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I have no idea, I don't study this problem. But looking at a chart with ~50 data points with that kind of spread and a very low-slope trend, I would just assume that whatever I graphed was merely a weak correlate to whatever the real important variables were.
Since there are so many variables here (density, level of interaction, mask compliance, "superspreaders", transit type, etc.), and many of them could correlate with whether or not people are interested in getting vaccinated, I would dig much deeper before concluding anything.
Point taken. I think an appropriate thing to say is that this is suggestive evidence that vaccines work, though this graph in and of itself does not establish the causal link.
This is a pretty steep slope to my eyes, though others may disagree.
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