[1/*] If we take the chance that a tool (compiler, linker, batch, whatever) remains working for a particular codebase after one year as a given probability p, then the chance that build remains working after x years is p^xn, where n is the number of tools used in the build.
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Replying to @cmuratori
This is a really good argument and I'd like to preserve it and be able to find it quickly (Twitter search sucks). Can I reblog this with full attributions?
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Replying to @ZeroChillFactor
I mean, you're welcome to do so, but it's just basic probability. The value-add here would be to actually try to build a model of software failure that takes more things into account (inter-dependency rates, hardware change rates, spec change rates, etc.)
2:02 PM - 16 Aug 2021
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