[1/*] If we take the chance that a tool (compiler, linker, batch, whatever) remains working for a particular codebase after one year as a given probability p, then the chance that build remains working after x years is p^xn, where n is the number of tools used in the build.
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Replying to @cmuratori
That's not very Bayesian of you. You're assuming that the probability for year 2-3 is independent of the probability for year 1-2, etc.
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Replying to @AriSteinGames
Or it was, and those are baked into the number :P
3:04 PM - 13 Aug 2021
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