As an extra added confirmation that I think my reasoning was sound, one of the tests I wanted to see _was_ later done, and it _did_ come out the way I suspected it might, and wanted more investigation into. So I am very confident in my understanding of this situation.
As your risk profile goes down (eg., as you have more years of data about your vaccination strategy and the mutation of the virus), the number of people getting vaccinated will likely go up, and that is _also correct_, because the more certainty, the more the balance should skew.
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The notion that humans are currently so good at collective decision making and scientific prediction that we _do not_ need to fault tolerant selection strategies is a great example of our current hubris, which frankly I find absurd.
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