so if theres a mythical person who did the research and came to the conclusion that they might want to wait for more data before getting the shot, and also take all the other precautions like mask wearing and avoiding crowds while waiting, then I wouldn't call that person dumb
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I've been curious if there's ever been a case where something got proven and widely accepted in math and then later disproven (without altering underlying axioms or changing the definitions of things). Doesn't seem to be any cases there
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Definitely above my pay grade.
End of conversation
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Statistics is probably the worst field in this regard. Not that the maths are wrong as such, but a lot of mathematicians don't care about what wrong conclusions people draw, and they will often use an implicit 50% prior, because choosing a prior is impure maths.
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