Er, why would 1,000 out of 20,000 be a surprising result for a vaccine billed as being 95% effective? What were they expecting?https://twitter.com/rkhamsi/status/1416163271904727046 …
Yeah 95% is Pfizer vs. control group. So if 100 people got infected, if they had all instead been vaccinated you would expect 5 people to get infected.
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So like, at least in my mind, that means that I don't take 1,000 out of 20,000 to be surprising number. I mean sure, probably not all 20,000 people would get infected unvaccinated, but like - look at those photos! It's probably close :)
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So like, 1,000 out of 20,000 is still the right order-of-magnitude for me _even if_ everyone had been vaccinated, such that I wouldn't expect anyone to be super shocked if it happened, you know?
End of conversation
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