I’m not sure what the efficacy measures precisely, but surely statistically that means that all 20,000 were exposed for a duration sufficient to transmit? so still not an amazing job
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also zero indication of how many fall into the "had tested negative" category, which surely is meaningless if your outcome is "how many people got COVID during the festival"
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also considering how many people may have faked having gotten the vaccine, lots of them made fake cards
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Seems like you didn’t even need to do that, just a negative test result was enough.
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The quoted tweeted gives no context. Young people there are barely vaccinated, or got in the same day they got vaccinated or took a rapid test 40 hours before.
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The vaccine is way less than 95% effective at preventing infection, and you wouldn't expect 20000 to be infected anyway, so that 0.05*20000 calculation isn't particularly meaningful here.
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The "or" in Roxanne's Tweet, on the other hand, looks crucial; people didn't need to be vaccinated to get in, so the majority probably weren't. Per https://rivm.nl/en/covid-19-vaccination/figures-vaccination-programme …, well under 20% of Dutch under-18-30s have had a single dose of vaccine so far.
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Doesn’t that presuppose all 20,000 would be expected to contract it if unvaccinated? I don’t agree with this ongoing false equivalency between vaccination and recent negative test results, though. Lots of places are employing that policy and it doesn’t seem very sensible.
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It’s a difficult one to manage, having a double vaccinated only event would be ideal and could drive more people (especially younger naive individuals) to get the vaccine. The problem for me is having the 48hr window to prove you have tested negative is too long… (1)
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This was during our epicly failing period of reopening in the Netherlands. Most attendees were not (fully) vaccinated and were allowed in immediately after 1 shot of Johnson.
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