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#LaNiña is officially out, and while many climate models are calling for #ElNiño
later this year, Tony Barnston warns that forecasters have been burned before with predictions at this time of year. So take this ENSO forecast with a big grain of salt.pic.twitter.com/YZD0OUqch4
This forecast is purely what the models are predicting. The early-May forecast, which incorporates human judgement from IRI and @NWSCPC, is up on our site, along with more forecasting resources: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/ … #IRIforecast
Yes Dr Barnston. Good advice.
So it will be neutral?
For the next few months yes. After that is too uncertain to say.
Un nouvel El Niño est-il en train de se préparer sur le Pacifique? Si c'est le cas, 2019 serait l'année la plus chaude
cc @OIL_MEN @JMJancovici @GARREAU75
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