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Feynman, ever the pessimist! ;-)
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Only if you make up data to support the reasoning. A huge part of correct reasoning is admitting what you don't know and going from there.
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Also relevant when we have too much data and it conflicts.
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Yes! And outside of the "hard sciences" this is pretty much the norm.
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I would say Feynman is biased, because of physics. There, it's much easier to reason out of problems. Real world is much more messy and only on fundamental level follows precise mathematical rules. So there are more ways to reason in physics than in a messy real life.
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1/ It's interesting how people seem to be interpreting what he said differently. Not saying others are wrong. But what I'm taking from it is that his point is there's plenty of situations where you don't have the all the research/math/statistically significant data you want,
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Awesome thread there. Thank you!
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