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chrislhayes's profile
Chris Hayes
Chris Hayes
Chris Hayes
Verified account
@chrislhayes

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Chris HayesVerified account

@chrislhayes

Dad to Ryan, David and Anya Proud husband of @kateashaw1 Host of @allinwithchris on MSNBC, weeknights at 8pm. #WITHPod Host Cubs fan Insta: chrislhayes

Brooklyn
allin.msnbc.com
Joined April 2007

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 29 Apr 2020

      Nate Silver Retweeted

      Yeah, IMHE lowered various hospitalization numbers to around 1/3 to 1/5 of where they had been originally to make them match the actual data they were seeing. https://twitter.com/kmedved/status/1255502330952286209?s=20 … https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1255500055227904002 …

      Nate Silver added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      24 replies 18 retweets 150 likes
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    2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 29 Apr 2020

      Nate Silver Retweeted Nate Silver

      Cuomo's press conferences have also featured slides where he's talked about how actual hospitalizations were considerably lower than all of the models the state had been looking at.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1248643693684367360?s=20 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
      Cuomo has shown this slide a couple of times now, and I'm curious about it. While the number of *deaths* has been broadly in line with models in NY State that assumed social distancing, there have been fewer hospitalizations than most models assumed. pic.twitter.com/TEuPApBKAU
      Show this thread
      9 replies 9 retweets 89 likes
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    3. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 29 Apr 2020

      And again, the *fatality* rates have been roughly as bad as models feared/assumed. (Emphasis on roughly since there's some range of debate.) But hospitalization rates have been lower than most projections. In general, there has been some reluctance to talk about this.

      64 replies 47 retweets 244 likes
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      Chris Hayes‏Verified account @chrislhayes 29 Apr 2020
      Replying to @NateSilver538

      seems like the excess death (at least in NYC) sheds some light on this. A huge number of deaths either at home or in the hospital before testing means those people aren't hospitalized. I think there was an assumption about the duration of the course of the illness...

      7:33 AM - 29 Apr 2020
      • 19 Retweets
      • 123 Likes
      • 🌎 Richard Alexander 🤔 the empty mansplainer 🌹 David Ha Alex the third estate Teri Diane Skinner (((Rowdy Writer/Witch))) 💛🐝 Jeremy Senderowicz
      9 replies 19 retweets 123 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Chris Hayes‏Verified account @chrislhayes 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          that has been really complicated by the actual experience of it.

          6 replies 5 retweets 46 likes
        3. Jᴀqᴇn H'ghᴀr  🌺‏ @RealFacelessMan 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          To be fair though, excess deaths could also be driven by people not going in for other life-saving treatments that they would have gone in for pre-covid

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. Show replies
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        2. Geoff‏ @geoffrobinson 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @FecklessFeinbe1 @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          He mentioned it along with hydroxychloquine + zpac a while ago.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. Saturn‏ @SSTurnbull 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          Nothing is as important as the abnormal death toll.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. James‏ @JamesAMcGhee 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ZacBissonnette @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          He's saying the course of the disease may be so steep in some people that they deteriorate from seemingly healthy to dead at home (or too incapacitated to seek aid) before there's time to be hospitalized. In other words, hospitalization may be lower b/c it's more severe, not less

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. carieberry‏ @carieberry 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          NURSING HOMES

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Birdie‏ @birdiereck 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          You couldn’t get into a hospital unless you were about to die.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Meeks‏ @FLman1980 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @chrislhayes @NateSilver538

          Was there an assumption or confusion? How could any hospital know what to expect with all the varying methods and ideas and actions taken by states, cities, the federal gov....They had to make really quick decisions in a massively confusing and scary time. And still do.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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